Pakistan Triggers Missile Test Speculation with Airspace Closure After India’s Agni-5 Launch
Pakistan has announced the closure of several air routes over its territory from August 20 to 26, 2025, sparking speculation about a potential missile test. The Notice to Airmen (NOTAM) specifies phased restrictions, with the southern corridor shut from August 20 to 26 and restrictions in the central zone starting from August 22, affecting both domestic and international flights.
This development follows closely on the heels of India's successful test-firing of its long-range Agni-5 Intermediate Range Ballistic Missile at the Integrated Test Range in Odisha. The launch, conducted under the Strategic Forces Command, met all operational and technical benchmarks, further enhancing India's deterrence capabilities.
Strategic analysts highlight Pakistan's tendency to announce missile-related activities or impose airspace restrictions soon after India makes defense advancements. Earlier this year, Pakistan tested its Shaheen-III ballistic missile, perceived as a reaction to India's expanding missile capabilities. This latest airspace closure is seen as a likely prelude to a missile test, possibly intended to demonstrate parity with India's Agni-5.
Observers draw comparisons with past incidents where Pakistan has aimed to respond to India's technological achievements. For instance, after India's large-scale Exercise Brass Tacks in 1990, Pakistan launched its own Exercise Zarb-e-Hadeed, deploying nearly 200,000 troops. This pattern of reacting to Indian missile milestones with comparable demonstrations of strength is well-documented.
The airspace closure is anticipated to disrupt regional aviation, echoing the impact of similar restrictions in June–July 2025, which resulted in significant diversions and delays. With ongoing tensions at the Line of Control (LoC), this move raises concerns about possible escalations, although both nations continue to maintain high operational readiness.
While Islamabad has yet to officially confirm a missile test, defense experts suggest the timing and sudden airspace restrictions strongly hint at preparations for such an event. International observers are closely monitoring the situation, particularly after India's recent success with the Agni-5, which has considerably extended the country's strategic reach.
As the region enters another phase of action and reaction, the coming days will determine whether Pakistan's airspace closure signifies routine military exercises or another effort to demonstrate its missile capabilities in response to India's developments.
